Los mercados de los commodities, entre los que se incluye el cobre, han tendido en forma creciente a concentrarse en estos últimos años. Como resultado, se está pasando a un esquema de gigantes especializados y dominantes en sus productos específicos. En cobre, CODELCO, que sigue siendo la principal empresa productora de cobre del mundo, ha
La teoría económica supone que los individuos maximizan racionalmente un set de preferencias que es coherente y estable, marco que ha sido aplicado con bastante éxito a un sinnúmero de problemas económicos. Sin embargo, algunos de los axiomas utilizados por el modelo están reñidos con los supuestos utilizados en otras disciplinas que estudian el comportamiento
This article evaluates the current stance of Chile’s trade policy, and the threats to continued. Topics covered are protectionism (tariff and non-tariff) in Chile and its export markets, the evolution of exports and a critique of dirigiste policies that claim that Chile is facing limits to an export orientation that is based on unprocessed natural
La globalización implica para todos los países, especialmente los latinoamericanos, grandes oportunidades; pero al mismo tiempo, los desafíos no son menores. Efectivamente, existen costos de ajuste en la incorporación de un país a la economía mundial, pero, los beneficios superan notoriamente a los costos. El foco de las políticas de un país que se integra
Este trabajo analiza la estrategia fiscal óptima para Chile, determinando el gasto total y fiscal de la economía, así como de la carga tributaria considerando (i) el problema de distribución intergeneracional de los recursos asociados al cobre; (ii) que los ingresos del cobre son volátiles, transitorios y afectan al resto de la economía; y (iii)
Chile is a lightly populated country of 15 million that has undergone large economic transformations. Over the past 25 years, the economy has evolved from a slow-growing state-directed economy into a fast growing, market-oriented economy. Its South American neighbors are imitating this transformation. The changes have been especially great in the transport sector, with the
En este trabajo se compara la capacidad predictiva de mediano plazo (1 a 5 años) de una variada gama de modelos de series cronológicas para el precio del cobre. El criterio de comparación es el error cuadrático medio de predicciones fuera de muestra. Entre los modelos considerados destacan medias móviles, procesos ARIMA, precios futuros, modelos
Chile and Mexico experienced severe economic crises in the early 1980s. This paper analyzes four possible explanations for why Chile recovered much faster than did Mexico. Comparing data from the two countries allows us to rule out a monetarist explanation, an explanation based on falls in real wages and real exchange rates, and a debt
Between the 1970`s and the 1980`s, the market of derivatives flourished. Forwards, futures and options began to be regularly traded. According to information gathered by The Bank of International Settlements, between January and April 1998, the value of over-the-counter (OTC) positions outstanding was over US$72 thousand billion, while the value of positions outstanding in organized
This paper quantitatively tests the «new trade theory» based on product differen-tiation, increasing returns, and imperfect competition. We employ a standard model, which allows both changes in the distribution of income among industrialized coun-tries, emphasized by Helpman and Krugman (1985), and nonhomothetic preferences, emphasized by Markusen (1986), to effect trade directions and volumes. In addition,
Successful economic growth followed by Chile, based on open market and export strategy, is characterised by a high dependence on natural resources, and by polluting production and consumption patterns. There is an increasing concern about the need to make potentially significant trade-offs between economic growth and environmental improvements. Additionally, policy-makers have been reluctant to impose
In several countries (Chile, Bolivia, Argentina and Peru, among others), power plants are dispatched according to merit order, i.e., based on the marginal operating costs of the plants. In this scheme, the plant with the highest marginal cost sets the spot price at which firms trade the energy requires to fulfill their contracts. The model